3 Years ago I made this post about who could be the next Drake or Ed Sheeran i.e. clock up a ridiculous amount of Top 40 hits that nobody knows. To keep it simple I looked at all acts to debut after Ed Sheeran to have 15 or more Top 40 hits to their name. A year later I looked at how things were progressing and added another 6 acts who now fitted the criteria. Then last year I did another update.
It seems the mythology from last year has done little to cut down the list but I'll stick with it for now.
Here's how it's looking then:
The Weeknd (41) (LY 38)
I said last year he looks the most likely of these acts to reach 50 Top 40 hits first. He's already the first to make 40. It seems like he's on his way.
Ariana Grande (41) (LY 35)
6 Top 40 hits in the past year which essentially came in 2 batches of 3. The first was due to being in a film and the second was having Max Martin as songwriter. As long as this continues to be the case I suspect the hits will keep coming.
Central Cee (35) (LY 30)
We're now in an era where UK rappers presence in the Top 40 has plummeted. Bucking this trend is Central Cee who has added 5 to his total in the last year. He's clocked up his first 35 Top 40 hits in the same amount of time Elvis Presley did it and nobody has done it quicker.
Dave (34) (LY 30)
Another UK rapper bucking the trend of UK rappers not getting the hits. One of those 4 Top 40 hits in the last year was a collaboration with Central Cee. If they can buck the trend then maybe there's more to come from them.
Little Mix (32) (LY 32)
They're still on hiatus so no further Top 40 hits.
Stormzy (32) (LY 32)
No longer leading the way for British rappers and with no Top 40 hits in the last year have we seen the last of Stormzy in the Top 40?
D-Block Europe (30) (LY 30)
Now 27 Top 40 hits in their first 4 years but just 3 in the last 3 years and none in the last year. They might be back but for now it looks like they're finished
Kendrick Lamar (30) (LY 26)
Kendrick Lamar continued his batches of Top 40 hits in November last year and then added another to his total as a featured artist in February. No doubt another 3 will come all at once in the future, or maybe they won't now I've said that.
Dua Lipa (26) (LY 26)
She seems to be in the news all the time but no Top 40 hits in the last year. Maybe she's enough of a celebrity now that she doesn't bother with music. We can only hope.
Post Malone (25) (LY 25)
Nothing in the last year for Post Malone. Maybe he's just waiting for the new trend before jumping on the bandwagon.
Billie Eilish (23) (LY 23)
Last year I said her number of Top 40 hits exceeds her age just. With no Top 40 hits in the last year she has a month until her age overtakes her number of Top 40 hits.
Rita Ora (22) (LY 22)
If I come up with a new methodology it should be one to take Rita Ora off this list. That said she'll probably have a big comeback if I do.
Sam Smith (22) (LY 22)
13 artists in and 8 of them have had no Top 40 hits in the last year, it's starting to sound more like past Top 40 flash in the pans. With Sam Smith though I get the feeling he's not finished yet.
Charli XCX (21) (LY 20)
In the last year somebody told me about Charli XCX and how she loves her old skool rave music and makes tunes to reflect that. I was however warned she also sings on them in autotune. She's added 1 to her total in the last year with something I've fortunately never heard.
KSI (20) (LY 19)
He's a YouTube person and it seems he was most prolific during Covid when that's all we had to amuse ourselves with. Now he's more occasional, but as long as YouTube is around he'll probably keep going.
Travis Scott (20) (LY 19)
He was a new addition 2 years ago but has had just one further Top 40 hit in the past year.
Doja Cat (20) (LY 17)
One of the newer Top 40 debutants on this list so more potential to go further.
Aitch (20) (LY 18)
It only took him 3 years 4 months to clock up 18 Top 40 hits, then over 2 years of nothing before adding 2 to his total in the last year.
Raye (20) (LY 16)
Her average has now gone above 2 a year but again the question is will she have the longevity?
Fredo (19) (LY 19)
Last year I said it's unlikely he's going to add much to his total in the future and that's accurate so far.
One Direction (18) (LY 18)
If they don't reunite and get back in the Top 40 in the next year they'll drop off this list.
Anne-Marie (18) (LY 18)
Nothing in the last year though you feel that David Guetta and co may keep her Top 40 career going in the future.
Becky Hill (18) (LY 18)
Nothing in the last year though you feel that David Guetta and co may keep her Top 40 career going in the future.
AJ Tracey (18) (LY 17)
After more than 3 years away he's added 1 to his total.
Headie One (17) (LY 17)
Nothing in the last year, perhaps one of the victims in the decline of UK rap in the Top 40.
Tion Wayne (16) (LY 16)
Another British rapper who appears to have run out of steam for clocking up Top 40 hits.
J Hus (16) (LY 16)
Another British rapper who appears to have run out of steam for clocking up Top 40 hits.
Jax Jones (16) (LY 16)
I'm sure he'll drop off the list in the future.
Camila Cabello (15) (LY 15)
Ditto.
Cardi B (15) (LY 15)
Ditto.
J Cole (15) (LY 15)
A new addition last year but nothing to add this year.
We have some new additions to the list this year:
SZA (17)
Just outside the criteria last year and helped onto the list this year by her collaborations with Kendrick Lamar.
21 Savage (15)
Just outside the criteria last year and helped onto the list by a collaboration with Central Cee this year.
Sabrina Carpenter (15)
After making her Top 40 debut in Jan 2021 she had her 2nd in Jan 2023 and 3rd in Jan 2024. Then from Apr 24 she clocked up 12 in 18 months.